ALMS vs VUG: Correlation
How closely do Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.18, which is negative.
Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology
How correlated are ALMS and VUG?
On 3 years of weekly data the ALMS/VUG correlation comes out at -0.18, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a tighter link (-0.02) than the 3-year average (-0.18). The 5-year figure is n/a, and annualized covariance runs at -489.9 %².
Among the 92 assets we track against ALMS, VUG ranks #35 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ALMS outperformed by 355.5 percentage points (+371.7% for ALMS against +16.2% for VUG). One caveat on sizing: ALMS is 6.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.
How is this computed?
Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.
ALMS vs VUG: side by side
| ALMS (Alumis Inc.) | VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +371.7% | +16.2% |
| 5-year return | n/a | +78.4% |
| Volatility (ann.) | 130.0% | 19.4% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | -1.50 | 1.28 |
| Max drawdown (3Y) | -78.9% | -22.8% |
| Market cap | $3.0B | – |
| P/E (trailing) | – | – |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.40% |
| Expense ratio | – | 0.03% |
| Assets under management | – | $372.0B |
| Sector / category | US Listed | ETF · US Style |
VUG, Vanguard's Large Growth fund, carries $372.0B under management, 146 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 0.40% trailing dividend yield.
Year-by-year returns
| Year | ALMS | VUG |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | – | -33.2% |
| 2023 | – | +46.8% |
| 2024 | – | +32.7% |
| 2025 | +24.2% | +19.4% |
| 2026 | +137.8% | +9.6% |
Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.
Are ALMS and VUG good diversifiers for each other?
Yes: at -0.18, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
FAQ
What is the correlation between ALMS and VUG?
The ALMS/VUG correlation stands at -0.18 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.02, 5 years: n/a), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.
Is VUG a good diversifier for ALMS?
Yes: at -0.18, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
What does a correlation of -0.18 mean?
Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.
Use this data
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/alms-vs-vug.json
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Related comparisons
Hubs: ALMS correlations · VUG correlations
