ALMS vs VTI: Correlation
Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.14.
Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology
How correlated are ALMS and VTI?
Over the past 3 years, ALMS and VTI moved with a correlation of -0.14, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.08) runs above the 3-year figure (-0.14). Over 5 years the correlation is n/a, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -284.5 %².
Within ALMS's tracked universe of 92 assets, VTI comes in at #14 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with ALMS ahead by 351.0 points (+371.7% versus +20.7%). One caveat on sizing: ALMS is 8.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.
How is this computed?
Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.
ALMS vs VTI: side by side
| ALMS (Alumis Inc.) | VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +371.7% | +20.7% |
| 5-year return | n/a | +74.8% |
| Volatility (ann.) | 130.0% | 14.6% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | -1.50 | 1.01 |
| Max drawdown (3Y) | -78.9% | -19.3% |
| Market cap | $3.0B | – |
| P/E (trailing) | – | – |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 1.06% |
| Expense ratio | – | 0.03% |
| Assets under management | – | $2,290.0B |
| Sector / category | US Listed | ETF · US Large Cap |
VTI, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $2,290.0B under management, 3140 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.06% trailing dividend yield.
Year-by-year returns
| Year | ALMS | VTI |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | – | -19.5% |
| 2023 | – | +26.0% |
| 2024 | – | +23.8% |
| 2025 | +24.2% | +17.1% |
| 2026 | +137.8% | +14.2% |
Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.
Are ALMS and VTI good diversifiers for each other?
Yes: at -0.14, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
FAQ
What is the correlation between ALMS and VTI?
As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ALMS and VTI is -0.14 over 3 years, 0.08 over 1 year and n/a over 5 years.
Is VTI a good diversifier for ALMS?
Yes: at -0.14, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
What does a correlation of -0.14 mean?
Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.
Use this data
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/alms-vs-vti.json
Markdown for the live badge, attribution link included:
[](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/alms-vs-vti/)
Free with attribution; caching and terms are described in the API documentation.
Related comparisons
Hubs: ALMS correlations · VTI correlations
