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ALMS vs SPOT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) carry a correlation of -0.34, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.34
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-1855.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ALMS and SPOT?

Over the past 3 years, ALMS and SPOT moved with a correlation of -0.34, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a tighter link (-0.23) than the 3-year average (-0.34). Over 5 years the correlation is n/a, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -1855.8 %².

Among the 92 assets we track against ALMS, SPOT sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #88. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with ALMS ahead by 395.6 points (+371.7% versus -23.9%). Note the risk asymmetry: ALMS runs 3.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ALMS vs SPOT: side by side

ALMS (Alumis Inc.)SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.)
1-year return+371.7%-23.9%
5-year returnn/a+126.2%
Volatility (ann.)130.0%39.5%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.500.85
Max drawdown (3Y)-78.9%-46.8%
Market cap$3.0B$108.4B
P/E (trailing)29.6
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: SPOT -46.8% vs -78.9%
-41%0%+558%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ALMS · SPOT

Year-by-year returns

YearALMSSPOT
2022-66.3%
2023+138.0%
2024+138.1%
2025+24.2%+29.8%
2026+137.8%-9.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ALMS and SPOT good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.34, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ALMS and SPOT?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ALMS and SPOT is -0.34 over 3 years, -0.23 over 1 year and n/a over 5 years.

Is SPOT a good diversifier for ALMS?

Yes: at -0.34, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.34 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.34 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ALMS vs SPOT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.34ALMS vs SPOT-0.34

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Hubs: ALMS correlations · SPOT correlations