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ALMS vs AR: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and Antero Resources Corporation (AR) carry a correlation of -0.33, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.33
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.24
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-1682.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ALMS and AR?

Over the past 3 years, ALMS and AR moved with a correlation of -0.33, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of -0.24 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is n/a, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -1682.4 %².

By 3-year correlation, AR places #87 of the 92 assets tracked against ALMS. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with ALMS ahead by 348.6 points (+371.7% versus +23.1%). One caveat on sizing: ALMS is 3.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ALMS vs AR: side by side

ALMS (Alumis Inc.)AR (Antero Resources Corporation)
1-year return+371.7%+23.1%
5-year returnn/a+181.4%
Volatility (ann.)130.0%40.6%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.500.32
Max drawdown (3Y)-78.9%-33.2%
Market cap$3.0B$11.8B
P/E (trailing)11.0
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: AR -33.2% vs -78.9%
-11%0%+558%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ALMS · AR

Year-by-year returns

YearALMSAR
2022+77.1%
2023-26.8%
2024+54.5%
2025+24.2%-1.7%
2026+137.8%+11.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ALMS and AR good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.33, ALMS and AR have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ALMS and AR?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ALMS and AR is -0.33 over 3 years, -0.24 over 1 year and n/a over 5 years.

Is AR a good diversifier for ALMS?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.33, ALMS and AR have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.33 mean?

A reading of -0.33 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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ALMS vs AR: 3-year weekly correlation -0.33ALMS vs AR-0.33

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Hubs: ALMS correlations · AR correlations