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AGG vs COP: Correlation

iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.22.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.22
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.58
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.14
long-run
Ann. covariance
-33.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AGG and COP?

On 3 years of weekly data the AGG/COP correlation comes out at -0.22, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.58) than the 3-year average (-0.22). The 5-year figure is -0.14, and annualized covariance runs at -33.3 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against AGG, COP ranks #23 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with COP ahead by 34.2 points (+2.3% versus +36.5%). Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from -0.58 to 0.11. One caveat on sizing: COP is 5.5 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AGG vs COP: side by side

AGG (iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF)COP (ConocoPhillips)
1-year return+2.3%+36.5%
5-year return-1.1%+175.2%
Volatility (ann.)5.3%29.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.070.25
Max drawdown (3Y)-4.8%-36.3%
Market cap$155.6B
P/E (trailing)17.3
Dividend yield4.05%2.53%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$137.1B
Sector / categoryETF · BondsEnergy
Higher yield: AGG 4.05% vs 2.53%Smaller drawdown: AGG -4.8% vs -36.3%Higher 5y return: COP +175.2% vs -1.1%

On the fund side, AGG sits in the Intermediate Core Bond category at iShares, with $137.1B under management, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 4.05% trailing dividend yield.

-7%0%+50%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. AGG · COP

Year-by-year returns

YearAGGCOP
2022-13.0%+71.7%
2023+5.7%+2.0%
2024+1.3%-12.2%
2025+7.2%-2.3%
2026+0.3%+41.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AGG and COP good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.22 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AGG and COP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AGG and COP is -0.22 over 3 years, -0.58 over 1 year and -0.14 over 5 years.

Is COP a good diversifier for AGG?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.22 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.22 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.22 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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AGG vs COP: 3-year weekly correlation -0.22AGG vs COP-0.22

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Hubs: AGG correlations · COP correlations