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VNQ vs XLY: Correlation & Overlap

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.47, a moderate link. Looking through to holdings, 0% of the two portfolios is the same by weight.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.47
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.25
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.63
long-run
Holdings overlap
0%
0 common holdings

How correlated are VNQ and XLY?

Over the past 3 years, VNQ and XLY moved with a correlation of 0.47, which is moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.25) runs below the 3-year figure (0.47). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.63, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 153.4 %².

Within VNQ's tracked universe of 149 assets, XLY comes in at #122 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months VNQ came out ahead by 10.4 percentage points (+10.3% against -0.1%). Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.26 to 0.83.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VNQ vs XLY: side by side

VNQ (Vanguard Real Estate ETF)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+10.3%-0.1%
5-year return+9.5%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)16.6%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.591.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.5%-26.0%
Dividend yield3.51%0.78%
Expense ratio0.13%0.08%
Assets under management$73.1B$22.5B
Sector / categoryETF · Real EstateSector ETF
Lower fee: XLY 0.08% vs 0.13%Higher yield: VNQ 3.51% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: VNQ -17.5% vs -26.0%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +9.5%

On the fund side, VNQ sits in the Real Estate category at Vanguard, with $73.1B under management, 140 holdings, a 0.13% expense ratio, a 3.51% trailing dividend yield. XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VNQ · XLY

Portfolio overlap between VNQ and XLY

The two portfolios are largely distinct. Weighing the shared positions, 0% of the two funds is identical, spread across 0 common holdings. That shared book is a large part of why the returns line up.

Largest positions held only by VNQ: VRTPX (14.54%), WELL (8.54%), PLD (7.04%), EQIX (5.25%), AMT (4.22%). Only by XLY: AMZN (24.32%), TSLA (16.18%), HD (5.54%), MCD (4.11%), BKNG (4.04%).

Overlap = sum of the smaller of the two weights across common holdings, from issuer disclosures as of 2026-07-31.

Year-by-year returns

YearVNQXLY
2022-26.3%-36.3%
2023+11.9%+39.6%
2024+4.8%+26.5%
2025+3.2%+7.4%
2026+12.5%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VNQ and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.47, VNQ and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VNQ and XLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between VNQ and XLY is 0.47 over 3 years, 0.25 over 1 year and 0.63 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for VNQ?

Reasonably. At 0.47, VNQ and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

How much do VNQ and XLY overlap?

The two funds share 0 holdings amounting to 0% of weight, per issuer portfolio files dated 2026-07-31.

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VNQ vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.47VNQ vs XLY0.47

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