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VLO vs XOM: Correlation

How closely do Valero Energy (VLO) and ExxonMobil (XOM) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.65, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.65
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.67
long-run
Ann. covariance
547.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VLO and XOM?

Over the past 3 years, VLO and XOM moved with a correlation of 0.65, which is strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.52) than the 3-year average (0.65). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.67, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 547.7 %².

Among the 28 assets we track against VLO, XOM ranks #11 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with VLO ahead by 92.0 points (+134.8% versus +42.8%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.52 and 0.76 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VLO vs XOM: side by side

VLO (Valero Energy)XOM (ExxonMobil)
1-year return+134.8%+42.8%
5-year return+512.9%+237.9%
Volatility (ann.)34.8%24.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.550.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-41.2%-20.1%
Market cap$99.8B$643.3B
P/E (trailing)14.520.1
Dividend yield1.34%2.58%
Sector / categoryEnergyEnergy
Lower P/E: VLO 14.5 vs 20.1Higher yield: XOM 2.58% vs 1.34%Smaller drawdown: XOM -20.1% vs -41.2%Higher 5y return: VLO +512.9% vs +237.9%
0%+127%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VLO · XOM

Year-by-year returns

YearVLOXOM
2022+75.0%+87.4%
2023+5.9%-6.3%
2024-3.0%+11.3%
2025+37.0%+16.0%
2026+116.1%+32.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VLO and XOM good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.65 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VLO and XOM?

The VLO/XOM correlation stands at 0.65 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.52, 5 years: 0.67), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XOM a good diversifier for VLO?

To a limited degree. At 0.65 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.65 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.65 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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VLO vs XOM: 3-year weekly correlation 0.65VLO vs XOM0.65

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Hubs: VLO correlations · XOM correlations