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UAL vs USO: Correlation

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.36.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.36
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.20
long-run
Ann. covariance
-658.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UAL and USO?

On 3 years of weekly data the UAL/USO correlation comes out at -0.36, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.63) than the 3-year average (-0.36). The 5-year figure is -0.20, and annualized covariance runs at -658.6 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against UAL, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #31. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 66.3 points (+7.8% versus +74.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.62 and 0.19 on a rolling one-year basis.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UAL vs USO: side by side

UAL (United Airlines Holdings)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+7.8%+74.1%
5-year return+144.8%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)46.6%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.33-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-49.2%-32.5%
Market cap$36.5B
P/E (trailing)10.8
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -49.2%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +144.8%
-19%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). UAL · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearUALUSO
2022-13.9%+29.0%
2023+9.4%-4.9%
2024+135.3%+13.4%
2025+15.2%-8.5%
2026+0.5%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are UAL and USO good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.36 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UAL and USO?

The UAL/USO correlation stands at -0.36 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.63, 5 years: -0.20), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for UAL?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.36 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.36 mean?

A reading of -0.36 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ual-vs-uso.json

UAL vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.36UAL vs USO-0.36

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![UAL vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/ual-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/ual-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: UAL correlations · USO correlations