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AAL vs UAL: Correlation

How closely do American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) and United Airlines Holdings (UAL) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.78, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.78
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.85
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.84
long-run
Ann. covariance
1647.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AAL and UAL?

On 3 years of weekly data the AAL/UAL correlation comes out at 0.78, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.85) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.84, and annualized covariance runs at 1647.5 %².

Few assets follow AAL as closely as UAL, which ranks #2 of 22 tracked partners. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +4.5% for AAL and +7.8% for UAL.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AAL vs UAL: side by side

AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)UAL (United Airlines Holdings)
1-year return+4.5%+7.8%
5-year return-29.7%+144.8%
Volatility (ann.)45.3%46.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.291.33
Max drawdown (3Y)-51.4%-49.2%
Market cap$9.1B$36.5B
P/E (trailing)10.8
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedIndustrials
Smaller drawdown: UAL -49.2% vs -51.4%Higher 5y return: UAL +144.8% vs -29.7%
-21%0%+37%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. AAL · UAL

Year-by-year returns

YearAALUAL
2022-29.2%-13.9%
2023+8.0%+9.4%
2024+26.9%+135.3%
2025-12.0%+15.2%
2026-10.5%+0.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AAL and UAL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.78 means AAL and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AAL and UAL?

The AAL/UAL correlation stands at 0.78 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.85, 5 years: 0.84), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UAL a good diversifier for AAL?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.78 means AAL and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.78 mean?

A reading of 0.78 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/aal-vs-ual.json

AAL vs UAL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.78AAL vs UAL0.78

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Hubs: AAL correlations · UAL correlations