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AAL vs USO: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) and United States Oil Fund (USO) carry a correlation of -0.37, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.37
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.21
long-run
Ann. covariance
-661.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AAL and USO?

Over the past 3 years, AAL and USO moved with a correlation of -0.37, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.61) than the 3-year average (-0.37). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.21, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -661.9 %².

USO is close to the least connected end of AAL's tracked universe, ranking #20 of 22. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 69.6 percentage points, +4.5% for AAL against +74.1% for USO.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AAL vs USO: side by side

AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+4.5%+74.1%
5-year return-29.7%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)45.3%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.29-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-51.4%-32.5%
Market cap$9.1B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -51.4%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs -29.7%
-21%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). AAL · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearAALUSO
2022-29.2%+29.0%
2023+8.0%-4.9%
2024+26.9%+13.4%
2025-12.0%-8.5%
2026-10.5%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AAL and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.37, AAL and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AAL and USO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AAL and USO is -0.37 over 3 years, -0.61 over 1 year and -0.21 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for AAL?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.37, AAL and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.37 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.37 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/aal-vs-uso.json

AAL vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.37AAL vs USO-0.37

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AAL correlations · USO correlations