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TFC vs XLF: Correlation

Truist Financial (TFC) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.77.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.77
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.67
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.78
long-run
Ann. covariance
351.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TFC and XLF?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of TFC and XLF correlate at 0.77, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.67 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.78, with an annualized covariance of 351.0 %².

Within TFC's tracked universe of 39 assets, XLF comes in at #18 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: +12.1% for TFC against +9.3% for XLF. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.64 and 0.90 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since TFC carries 1.7 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TFC vs XLF: side by side

TFC (Truist Financial)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+12.1%+9.3%
5-year return+12.7%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)28.0%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.070.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.9%-15.5%
Market cap$61.4B
P/E (trailing)11.6
Dividend yield4.10%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: TFC 4.10% vs 1.42%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -26.9%Higher 5y return: XLF +64.2% vs +12.7%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). TFC · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearTFCXLF
2022-23.5%-10.6%
2023-8.6%+12.0%
2024+23.7%+30.6%
2025+19.0%+14.9%
2026+5.4%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLF holds TFC at a 0.77% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are TFC and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.77 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TFC and XLF?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.77 over 3 years, with 0.67 over the last year and 0.78 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for TFC?

To a limited degree. At 0.77 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.77 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.77 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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TFC vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.77TFC vs XLF0.77

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Hubs: TFC correlations · XLF correlations