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TAP vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.53, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.53
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.67
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.50
long-run
Ann. covariance
141.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TAP and XLP?

On 3 years of weekly data the TAP/XLP correlation comes out at 0.53, moderate. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.67) than the 3-year average (0.53). The 5-year figure is 0.50, and annualized covariance runs at 141.5 %².

XLP is one of the assets that tracks TAP most closely: it ranks #2 out of the 38 assets we track against TAP. The last year tells two different stories: XLP led by 23.3 percentage points, -15.0% for TAP against +8.3% for XLP. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.15 to 0.71. Risk is not evenly split, since TAP carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TAP vs XLP: side by side

TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-15.0%+8.3%
5-year return+3.9%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)23.9%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.150.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.8%-9.7%
Market cap$7.8B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.51%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: TAP 4.51% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -38.8%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs +3.9%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. TAP · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearTAPXLP
2022+14.4%-0.8%
2023+22.2%-0.8%
2024-3.4%+12.2%
2025-15.5%+1.5%
2026-8.8%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLP holds TAP at a 0.42% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are TAP and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.53 means TAP and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TAP and XLP?

The TAP/XLP correlation stands at 0.53 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.67, 5 years: 0.50), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for TAP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.53 means TAP and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.53 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.53 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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TAP vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.53TAP vs XLP0.53

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Hubs: TAP correlations · XLP correlations