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TAP vs USO: Correlation

Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.24.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.24
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.34
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.10
long-run
Ann. covariance
-223.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TAP and USO?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of TAP and USO correlate at -0.24, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.34) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.24). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.10, with an annualized covariance of -223.1 %².

Out of 38 assets tracked against TAP, USO lands near the bottom at #37. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 89.1 percentage points, -15.0% for TAP against +74.1% for USO. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from -0.43 to 0.20. Risk is not evenly split, since USO carries 1.6 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TAP vs USO: side by side

TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-15.0%+74.1%
5-year return+3.9%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)23.9%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.15-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.8%-32.5%
Market cap$7.8B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.51%
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -38.8%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +3.9%
-20%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). TAP · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearTAPUSO
2022+14.4%+29.0%
2023+22.2%-4.9%
2024-3.4%+13.4%
2025-15.5%-8.5%
2026-8.8%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TAP and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.24, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TAP and USO?

The TAP/USO correlation stands at -0.24 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.34, 5 years: -0.10), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for TAP?

Yes: at -0.24, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.24 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.24 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/tap-vs-uso.json

TAP vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.24TAP vs USO-0.24

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![TAP vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/tap-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/tap-vs-uso/)

No key needed, free to use. Full endpoint list in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: TAP correlations · USO correlations