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SWK vs XLB: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) carry a correlation of 0.70, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.70
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.69
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.63
long-run
Ann. covariance
415.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SWK and XLB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SWK and XLB correlate at 0.70, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.69 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.63, with an annualized covariance of 415.8 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLB places #4 of the 55 assets tracked against SWK. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SWK ahead by 19.4 points (+37.0% versus +17.6%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.63 and 0.78 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship. Note the risk asymmetry: SWK runs 2.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SWK vs XLB: side by side

SWK (Stanley Black & Decker)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+37.0%+17.6%
5-year return-39.1%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)35.4%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.190.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-48.3%-23.2%
Market cap$15.0B
P/E (trailing)24.4
Dividend yield3.33%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: SWK 3.33% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -48.3%Higher 5y return: XLB +36.9% vs -39.1%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+37%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). SWK · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearSWKXLB
2022-58.9%-12.3%
2023+35.6%+12.5%
2024-15.2%+0.1%
2025-3.2%+9.9%
2026+36.5%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SWK and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.70 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SWK and XLB?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.70 over 3 years, with 0.69 over the last year and 0.63 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for SWK?

To a limited degree. At 0.70 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.70 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.70 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SWK vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.70SWK vs XLB0.70

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Hubs: SWK correlations · XLB correlations