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SMH vs VTI: Correlation

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) show a very strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.81.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.81
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.75
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.80
long-run
Ann. covariance
399.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SMH and VTI?

Over the past 3 years, SMH and VTI moved with a correlation of 0.81, which is very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.75 over 1 year against 0.81 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.80, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 399.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, VTI places #18 of the 88 assets tracked against SMH. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SMH ahead by 72.4 points (+93.1% versus +20.7%). Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.69 through 0.90. One caveat on sizing: SMH is 2.3 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SMH vs VTI: side by side

SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF)
1-year return+93.1%+20.7%
5-year return+332.8%+74.8%
Volatility (ann.)33.7%14.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.911.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-35.7%-19.3%
Dividend yield1.06%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$2,290.0B
Sector / categoryETF · ThematicETF · US Large Cap
Smaller drawdown: VTI -19.3% vs -35.7%Higher 5y return: SMH +332.8% vs +74.8%

VTI, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $2,290.0B under management, 3140 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.06% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+126%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SMH · VTI

Year-by-year returns

YearSMHVTI
2022-33.5%-19.5%
2023+73.4%+26.0%
2024+39.1%+23.8%
2025+49.2%+17.1%
2026+59.1%+14.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SMH and VTI good diversifiers for each other?

No: a correlation of 0.81 means SMH and VTI tend to fall together, which is precisely when diversification is supposed to help.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SMH and VTI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.81 over 3 years, with 0.75 over the last year and 0.80 over 5 years.

Is VTI a good diversifier for SMH?

No: a correlation of 0.81 means SMH and VTI tend to fall together, which is precisely when diversification is supposed to help.

What does a correlation of 0.81 mean?

A reading of 0.81 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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SMH vs VTI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.81SMH vs VTI0.81

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SMH correlations · VTI correlations