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SBUX vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Starbucks (SBUX) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.40, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.40
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.32
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.47
long-run
Ann. covariance
271.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SBUX and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SBUX and XLY correlate at 0.40, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.32) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.47, with an annualized covariance of 271.6 %².

Within SBUX's tracked universe of 38 assets, XLY comes in at #19 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: SBUX led by 25.6 percentage points, +25.5% for SBUX against -0.1% for XLY. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.24 to 0.58. Note the risk asymmetry: SBUX runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SBUX vs XLY: side by side

SBUX (Starbucks)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+25.5%-0.1%
5-year return+4.5%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.101.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-32.0%-26.0%
Market cap$122.3B
P/E (trailing)62.7
Dividend yield2.29%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: SBUX 2.29% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -32.0%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +4.5%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). SBUX · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearSBUXXLY
2022-13.2%-36.3%
2023-1.2%+39.6%
2024-2.5%+26.5%
2025-5.3%+7.4%
2026+29.7%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds SBUX at a 3.08% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are SBUX and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.40, SBUX and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SBUX and XLY?

The SBUX/XLY correlation stands at 0.40 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.32, 5 years: 0.47), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for SBUX?

Reasonably. At 0.40, SBUX and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.40 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.40 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SBUX vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.40SBUX vs XLY0.40

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