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PSX vs XLE: Correlation

How closely do Phillips 66 (PSX) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.81, which is very strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.81
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.80
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.81
long-run
Ann. covariance
624.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PSX and XLE?

Over the past 3 years, PSX and XLE moved with a correlation of 0.81, which is very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.80 over 1 year against 0.81 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.81, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 624.2 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against PSX, XLE ranks #4 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with PSX ahead by 42.2 points (+86.2% versus +44.0%). Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.74 through 0.88.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PSX vs XLE: side by side

PSX (Phillips 66)XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+86.2%+44.0%
5-year return+301.8%+206.7%
Volatility (ann.)33.4%23.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.580.27
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.4%-20.1%
Market cap$96.1B
P/E (trailing)13.8
Dividend yield2.04%2.55%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$39.2B
Sector / categoryEnergySector ETF
Higher yield: XLE 2.55% vs 2.04%Smaller drawdown: XLE -20.1% vs -44.4%Higher 5y return: PSX +301.8% vs +206.7%

XLE is an Equity Energy fund from State Street Investment Management: $39.2B under management, 22 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.55% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+90%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PSX · XLE

Year-by-year returns

YearPSXXLE
2022+49.6%+64.3%
2023+33.1%-0.6%
2024-11.6%+5.6%
2025+17.5%+7.9%
2026+89.7%+41.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLE holds PSX at a 5.37% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are PSX and XLE good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.81, PSX and XLE move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PSX and XLE?

The PSX/XLE correlation stands at 0.81 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.80, 5 years: 0.81), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLE a good diversifier for PSX?

No. With a correlation of 0.81, PSX and XLE move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.81 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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PSX vs XLE: 3-year weekly correlation 0.81PSX vs XLE0.81

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Hubs: PSX correlations · XLE correlations