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MPC vs PSX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Phillips 66 (PSX) carry a correlation of 0.88, a very strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.88
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.93
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.85
long-run
Ann. covariance
999.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MPC and PSX?

On 3 years of weekly data the MPC/PSX correlation comes out at 0.88, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.93 over 1 year against 0.88 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.85, and annualized covariance runs at 999.8 %².

Few assets follow MPC as closely as PSX, which ranks #1 of 29 tracked partners. The last year tells two different stories: MPC led by 21.6 percentage points, +107.8% for MPC against +86.2% for PSX. The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.75 and 0.92.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MPC vs PSX: side by side

MPC (Marathon Petroleum)PSX (Phillips 66)
1-year return+107.8%+86.2%
5-year return+589.6%+301.8%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%33.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.480.58
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.7%-44.4%
Market cap$102.1B$96.1B
P/E (trailing)12.613.8
Dividend yield1.10%2.04%
Sector / categoryEnergyEnergy
Lower P/E: MPC 12.6 vs 13.8Higher yield: PSX 2.04% vs 1.10%Smaller drawdown: PSX -44.4% vs -44.7%Higher 5y return: MPC +589.6% vs +301.8%
-9%0%+105%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MPC · PSX

Year-by-year returns

YearMPCPSX
2022+86.6%+49.6%
2023+30.5%+33.1%
2024-4.1%-11.6%
2025+19.2%+17.5%
2026+126.1%+89.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MPC and PSX good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.88, MPC and PSX move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MPC and PSX?

The MPC/PSX correlation stands at 0.88 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.93, 5 years: 0.85), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is PSX a good diversifier for MPC?

No. With a correlation of 0.88, MPC and PSX move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.88 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MPC vs PSX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.88MPC vs PSX0.88

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MPC correlations · PSX correlations