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PRG vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.33, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.33
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.24
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.43
long-run
Ann. covariance
222.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PRG and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of PRG and SPY correlate at 0.33, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.24 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.43, with an annualized covariance of 222.5 %².

Among the 12 assets we track against PRG, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #8. Over the last 12 months SPY came out ahead by 6.7 percentage points (+13.9% against +20.6%). Note the risk asymmetry: PRG runs 3.2 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PRG vs SPY: side by side

PRG (PROG Holdings, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+13.9%+20.6%
5-year return-13.8%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)46.7%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.071.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-51.9%-18.8%
Market cap$1.6B
P/E (trailing)12.8
Dividend yield1.36%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: PRG 1.36% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -51.9%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -13.8%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-23%0%+33%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PRG · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearPRGSPY
2022-62.6%-18.2%
2023+83.0%+26.2%
2024+38.4%+24.9%
2025-29.0%+17.7%
2026+36.1%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PRG and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.33, PRG and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PRG and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.33 over 3 years, with 0.24 over the last year and 0.43 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for PRG?

Reasonably. At 0.33, PRG and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.33 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.33 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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PRG vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.33PRG vs SPY0.33

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Hubs: PRG correlations · SPY correlations