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PAGS vs XP: Correlation

How closely do PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Class A (PAGS) and XP Inc. (XP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.65, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.65
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.78
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.58
long-run
Ann. covariance
1126.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PAGS and XP?

On 3 years of weekly data the PAGS/XP correlation comes out at 0.65, strong. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.78) runs above the 3-year figure (0.65). The 5-year figure is 0.58, and annualized covariance runs at 1126.0 %².

XP is one of the assets that tracks PAGS most closely: it ranks #2 out of the 14 assets we track against PAGS. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +5.6% for PAGS and +5.8% for XP.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PAGS vs XP: side by side

PAGS (PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Class A)XP (XP Inc.)
1-year return+5.6%+5.8%
5-year return-84.4%-58.9%
Volatility (ann.)42.1%41.0%
Beta vs S&P 5001.171.18
Max drawdown (3Y)-57.6%-56.6%
Market cap$2.5B$9.0B
P/E (trailing)6.29.0
Dividend yield14.99%11.39%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: PAGS 6.2 vs 9.0Higher yield: PAGS 14.99% vs 11.39%Smaller drawdown: XP -56.6% vs -57.6%Higher 5y return: XP -58.9% vs -84.4%
-18%0%+23%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). PAGS · XP

Year-by-year returns

YearPAGSXP
2022-66.7%-46.6%
2023+42.7%+79.6%
2024-49.8%-52.2%
2025+58.7%+39.5%
2026-5.1%+9.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PAGS and XP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means PAGS and XP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PAGS and XP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PAGS and XP is 0.65 over 3 years, 0.78 over 1 year and 0.58 over 5 years.

Is XP a good diversifier for PAGS?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means PAGS and XP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.65 mean?

A reading of 0.65 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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PAGS vs XP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.65PAGS vs XP0.65

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Related comparisons

Hubs: PAGS correlations · XP correlations