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NZF vs TLT: Correlation

Nuveen Municipal Credit Income Fund (NZF) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.70.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.70
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.53
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
109.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NZF and TLT?

On 3 years of weekly data the NZF/TLT correlation comes out at 0.70, strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.53) runs below the 3-year figure (0.70). The 5-year figure is 0.54, and annualized covariance runs at 109.1 %².

Among the 25 assets we track against NZF, TLT ranks #15 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months NZF came out ahead by 10.5 percentage points (+10.8% against +0.3%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NZF vs TLT: side by side

NZF (Nuveen Municipal Credit Income Fund)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+10.8%+0.3%
5-year return-4.1%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)11.6%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.300.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-12.4%-14.8%
Market cap$2.4B
P/E (trailing)13.5
Dividend yield7.80%4.75%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$41.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Bonds
Higher yield: NZF 7.80% vs 4.75%Smaller drawdown: NZF -12.4% vs -14.8%Higher 5y return: NZF -4.1% vs -34.0%

On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. NZF · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearNZFTLT
2022-25.5%-31.2%
2023+2.5%+2.8%
2024+10.1%-8.1%
2025+11.8%+4.2%
2026+2.4%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NZF and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.70 means NZF and TLT share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NZF and TLT?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between NZF and TLT is 0.70 over 3 years, 0.53 over 1 year and 0.54 over 5 years.

Is TLT a good diversifier for NZF?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.70 means NZF and TLT share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.70 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.70 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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NZF vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation 0.70NZF vs TLT0.70

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Hubs: NZF correlations · TLT correlations