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NUE vs XLI: Correlation

How closely do Nucor (NUE) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.35
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
296.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NUE and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the NUE/XLI correlation comes out at 0.57, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.35) runs below the 3-year figure (0.57). The 5-year figure is 0.60, and annualized covariance runs at 296.8 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against NUE, XLI ranks #15 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with NUE ahead by 51.8 points (+70.1% versus +18.3%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.30 and 0.77, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: NUE runs 2.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NUE vs XLI: side by side

NUE (Nucor)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+70.1%+18.3%
5-year return+124.6%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)33.3%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.080.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.8%-18.5%
Market cap$57.3B
P/E (trailing)20.1
Dividend yield0.88%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 0.88%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -47.8%Higher 5y return: NUE +124.6% vs +84.0%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+88%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NUE · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearNUEXLI
2022+17.4%-5.6%
2023+33.8%+18.1%
2024-32.0%+17.3%
2025+42.0%+19.3%
2026+55.6%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NUE and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means NUE and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NUE and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between NUE and XLI is 0.57 over 3 years, 0.35 over 1 year and 0.60 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for NUE?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means NUE and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.57 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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NUE vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57NUE vs XLI0.57

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Hubs: NUE correlations · XLI correlations