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NUE vs XLB: Correlation

Nucor (NUE) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.57.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.27
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
319.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NUE and XLB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of NUE and XLB correlate at 0.57, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.27) than the 3-year average (0.57). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.64, with an annualized covariance of 319.8 %².

Within NUE's tracked universe of 34 assets, XLB comes in at #14 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months NUE outperformed by 52.5 percentage points (+70.1% for NUE against +17.6% for XLB). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.32 and 0.82, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: NUE runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NUE vs XLB: side by side

NUE (Nucor)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+70.1%+17.6%
5-year return+124.6%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)33.3%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.080.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.8%-23.2%
Market cap$57.3B
P/E (trailing)20.1
Dividend yield0.88%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLB 1.68% vs 0.88%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -47.8%Higher 5y return: NUE +124.6% vs +36.9%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+88%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NUE · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearNUEXLB
2022+17.4%-12.3%
2023+33.8%+12.5%
2024-32.0%+0.1%
2025+42.0%+9.9%
2026+55.6%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLB holds NUE at a 4.28% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are NUE and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NUE and XLB?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.57 over 3 years, with 0.27 over the last year and 0.64 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for NUE?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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NUE vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57NUE vs XLB0.57

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Hubs: NUE correlations · XLB correlations