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NOC vs XLI: Correlation

How closely do Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.29, which is weak.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.29
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.31
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.32
long-run
Ann. covariance
120.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NOC and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the NOC/XLI correlation comes out at 0.29, weak. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.31 over 1 year against 0.29 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.32, and annualized covariance runs at 120.4 %².

Among the 30 assets we track against NOC, XLI ranks #16 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: XLI led by 23.9 percentage points, -5.6% for NOC against +18.3% for XLI. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.05 and 0.55 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. One caveat on sizing: NOC is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NOC vs XLI: side by side

NOC (Northrop Grumman)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-5.6%+18.3%
5-year return+60.1%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)26.7%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.240.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-35.1%-18.5%
Market cap$77.4B
P/E (trailing)17.5
Dividend yield1.71%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: NOC 1.71% vs 1.15%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -35.1%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +60.1%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+31%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NOC · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearNOCXLI
2022+43.0%-5.6%
2023-12.8%+18.1%
2024+1.9%+17.3%
2025+23.6%+19.3%
2026-3.7%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLI holds NOC at a 1.3% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are NOC and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NOC and XLI?

The NOC/XLI correlation stands at 0.29 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.31, 5 years: 0.32), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLI a good diversifier for NOC?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.29 mean?

A reading of 0.29 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/noc-vs-xli.json

NOC vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.29NOC vs XLI0.29

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NOC correlations · XLI correlations