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NCDL vs QQQ: Correlation

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.27.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.27
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.29
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
108.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NCDL and QQQ?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of NCDL and QQQ correlate at 0.27, weak. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.29 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives n/a, with an annualized covariance of 108.3 %².

Among the 16 assets we track against NCDL, QQQ sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #13. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months QQQ outperformed by 37.9 percentage points (-11.6% for NCDL against +26.3% for QQQ).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NCDL vs QQQ: side by side

NCDL (Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.)QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust)
1-year return-11.6%+26.3%
5-year returnn/a+95.4%
Volatility (ann.)20.2%19.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.481.28
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.3%-22.8%
Market cap$0.6B
P/E (trailing)13.1
Dividend yield0.00%0.44%
Expense ratio0.18%
Assets under management$452.8B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Growth & Tech
Higher yield: QQQ 0.44% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: NCDL -22.3% vs -22.8%

QQQ is a Large Growth fund from Invesco: $452.8B under management, 104 holdings, a 0.18% expense ratio, a 0.44% trailing dividend yield.

-16%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. NCDL · QQQ

Year-by-year returns

YearNCDLQQQ
2022-32.6%
2023+54.9%
2024+25.6%
2025-9.9%+20.8%
2026-1.2%+17.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NCDL and QQQ good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.27 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NCDL and QQQ?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between NCDL and QQQ is 0.27 over 3 years, 0.29 over 1 year and n/a over 5 years.

Is QQQ a good diversifier for NCDL?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.27 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.27 mean?

A reading of 0.27 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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NCDL vs QQQ: 3-year weekly correlation 0.27NCDL vs QQQ0.27

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Hubs: NCDL correlations · QQQ correlations