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NCDL vs OBDC: Correlation

How closely do Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) and Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.65, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.65
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.72
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
258.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NCDL and OBDC?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of NCDL and OBDC correlate at 0.65, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.72 over 1 year against 0.65 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives n/a, with an annualized covariance of 258.1 %².

Within NCDL's tracked universe of 16 assets, OBDC comes in at #5 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: -11.6% for NCDL against -10.3% for OBDC.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NCDL vs OBDC: side by side

NCDL (Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.)OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation)
1-year return-11.6%-10.3%
5-year returnn/a+34.0%
Volatility (ann.)20.2%19.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.480.71
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.3%-23.9%
Market cap$0.6B$5.6B
P/E (trailing)13.120.1
Dividend yield0.00%12.62%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: NCDL 13.1 vs 20.1Higher yield: OBDC 12.62% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: NCDL -22.3% vs -23.9%
-20%0%+2%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NCDL · OBDC

Year-by-year returns

YearNCDLOBDC
2022-9.5%
2023+43.5%
2024+14.7%
2025-9.9%-7.9%
2026-1.2%-3.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NCDL and OBDC good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means NCDL and OBDC share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NCDL and OBDC?

The NCDL/OBDC correlation stands at 0.65 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.72, 5 years: n/a), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is OBDC a good diversifier for NCDL?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means NCDL and OBDC share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.65 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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NCDL vs OBDC: 3-year weekly correlation 0.65NCDL vs OBDC0.65

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NCDL correlations · OBDC correlations