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MRK vs MRNA: Correlation

How closely do Merck & Co. (MRK) and Moderna (MRNA) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.40, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.40
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.30
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.32
long-run
Ann. covariance
1116.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MRK and MRNA?

On 3 years of weekly data the MRK/MRNA correlation comes out at 0.40, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.30) than the 3-year average (0.40). The 5-year figure is 0.32, and annualized covariance runs at 1116.9 %².

Within MRK's tracked universe of 34 assets, MRNA comes in at #18 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with MRNA ahead by 385.0 points (+83.8% versus +468.8%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.04 and 0.64 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Note the risk asymmetry: MRNA runs 3.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MRK vs MRNA: side by side

MRK (Merck & Co.)MRNA (Moderna)
1-year return+83.8%+468.8%
5-year return+128.5%-61.5%
Volatility (ann.)27.9%100.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.280.98
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.4%-86.6%
Market cap$368.9B$57.0B
P/E (trailing)121.6
Dividend yield2.17%0.00%
Sector / categoryHealth CareHealth Care
Higher yield: MRK 2.17% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MRK -43.4% vs -86.6%Higher 5y return: MRK +128.5% vs -61.5%
-6%0%+477%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MRK · MRNA

Year-by-year returns

YearMRKMRNA
2022+49.4%-29.3%
2023+1.0%-44.6%
2024-6.3%-58.2%
2025+9.8%-29.1%
2026+44.1%+384.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MRK and MRNA good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.40, MRK and MRNA keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MRK and MRNA?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MRK and MRNA is 0.40 over 3 years, 0.30 over 1 year and 0.32 over 5 years.

Is MRNA a good diversifier for MRK?

Reasonably. At 0.40, MRK and MRNA keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.40 mean?

A reading of 0.40 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MRK vs MRNA: 3-year weekly correlation 0.40MRK vs MRNA0.40

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MRK correlations · MRNA correlations