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MPC vs XOM: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and ExxonMobil (XOM) carry a correlation of 0.64, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.64
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.69
long-run
Ann. covariance
534.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MPC and XOM?

Over the past 3 years, MPC and XOM moved with a correlation of 0.64, which is strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.56) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.69, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 534.3 %².

Among the 29 assets we track against MPC, XOM ranks #15 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MPC outperformed by 65.0 percentage points (+107.8% for MPC against +42.8% for XOM). The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.57 and 0.75.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MPC vs XOM: side by side

MPC (Marathon Petroleum)XOM (ExxonMobil)
1-year return+107.8%+42.8%
5-year return+589.6%+237.9%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%24.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.480.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.7%-20.1%
Market cap$102.1B$643.3B
P/E (trailing)12.620.1
Dividend yield1.10%2.58%
Sector / categoryEnergyEnergy
Lower P/E: MPC 12.6 vs 20.1Higher yield: XOM 2.58% vs 1.10%Smaller drawdown: XOM -20.1% vs -44.7%Higher 5y return: MPC +589.6% vs +237.9%
-9%0%+105%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MPC · XOM

Year-by-year returns

YearMPCXOM
2022+86.6%+87.4%
2023+30.5%-6.3%
2024-4.1%+11.3%
2025+19.2%+16.0%
2026+126.1%+32.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MPC and XOM good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MPC and XOM?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MPC and XOM is 0.64 over 3 years, 0.56 over 1 year and 0.69 over 5 years.

Is XOM a good diversifier for MPC?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.64 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.64 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MPC vs XOM: 3-year weekly correlation 0.64MPC vs XOM0.64

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Hubs: MPC correlations · XOM correlations