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MPC vs VATE: Correlation

How closely do Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.19, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.19
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.44
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.07
long-run
Ann. covariance
-797.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MPC and VATE?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MPC and VATE correlate at -0.19, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.44 versus -0.19 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.07, with an annualized covariance of -797.7 %².

Among the 29 assets we track against MPC, VATE ranks #23 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: MPC led by 62.0 percentage points, +107.8% for MPC against +45.8% for VATE. Note the risk asymmetry: VATE runs 3.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MPC vs VATE: side by side

MPC (Marathon Petroleum)VATE (INNOVATE Corp.)
1-year return+107.8%+45.8%
5-year return+589.6%-79.2%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%122.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.482.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.7%-81.0%
Market cap$102.1B$0.1B
P/E (trailing)12.6
Dividend yield1.10%0.00%
Sector / categoryEnergyUS Listed
Higher yield: MPC 1.10% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MPC -44.7% vs -81.0%Higher 5y return: MPC +589.6% vs -79.2%
-29%0%+256%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MPC · VATE

Year-by-year returns

YearMPCVATE
2022+86.6%-49.5%
2023+30.5%-34.2%
2024-4.1%-59.8%
2025+19.2%-8.5%
2026+126.1%+71.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MPC and VATE good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.19, MPC and VATE have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MPC and VATE?

The MPC/VATE correlation stands at -0.19 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.44, 5 years: -0.07), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VATE a good diversifier for MPC?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.19, MPC and VATE have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.19 mean?

A reading of -0.19 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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MPC vs VATE: 3-year weekly correlation -0.19MPC vs VATE-0.19

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MPC correlations · VATE correlations