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MPC vs QQQ: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) carry a correlation of 0.11, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.11
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.30
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.12
long-run
Ann. covariance
76.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MPC and QQQ?

Over the past 3 years, MPC and QQQ moved with a correlation of 0.11, which is weak. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.30) runs below the 3-year figure (0.11). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.12, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 76.4 %².

Among the 29 assets we track against MPC, QQQ ranks #19 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MPC outperformed by 81.5 percentage points (+107.8% for MPC against +26.3% for QQQ). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.36 and 0.56 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Note the risk asymmetry: MPC runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MPC vs QQQ: side by side

MPC (Marathon Petroleum)QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust)
1-year return+107.8%+26.3%
5-year return+589.6%+95.4%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%19.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.481.28
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.7%-22.8%
Market cap$102.1B
P/E (trailing)12.6
Dividend yield1.10%0.44%
Expense ratio0.18%
Assets under management$452.8B
Sector / categoryEnergyETF · US Growth & Tech
Higher yield: MPC 1.10% vs 0.44%Smaller drawdown: QQQ -22.8% vs -44.7%Higher 5y return: MPC +589.6% vs +95.4%

QQQ is a Large Growth fund from Invesco: $452.8B under management, 104 holdings, a 0.18% expense ratio, a 0.44% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+105%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MPC · QQQ

Year-by-year returns

YearMPCQQQ
2022+86.6%-32.6%
2023+30.5%+54.9%
2024-4.1%+25.6%
2025+19.2%+20.8%
2026+126.1%+17.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MPC and QQQ good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.11 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MPC and QQQ?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MPC and QQQ is 0.11 over 3 years, -0.30 over 1 year and 0.12 over 5 years.

Is QQQ a good diversifier for MPC?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.11 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of 0.11 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.11 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MPC vs QQQ: 3-year weekly correlation 0.11MPC vs QQQ0.11

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Hubs: MPC correlations · QQQ correlations