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MOS vs SPY: Correlation

Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.31.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.31
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.11
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.33
long-run
Ann. covariance
161.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MOS and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the MOS/SPY correlation comes out at 0.31, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.11) than the 3-year average (0.31). The 5-year figure is 0.33, and annualized covariance runs at 161.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #22 of the 33 assets tracked against MOS. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 47.2 points (-26.6% versus +20.6%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.09 and 0.57, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: MOS runs 2.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MOS vs SPY: side by side

MOS (Mosaic Company (The))SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-26.6%+20.6%
5-year return-17.1%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)36.6%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.781.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-45.7%-18.8%
Market cap$7.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield3.64%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: MOS 3.64% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -45.7%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -17.1%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-33%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MOS · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearMOSSPY
2022+12.8%-18.2%
2023-16.4%+26.2%
2024-29.1%+24.9%
2025+1.1%+17.7%
2026+0.5%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MOS and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.31 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MOS and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.31 over 3 years, with 0.11 over the last year and 0.33 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for MOS?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.31 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.31 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MOS vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.31MOS vs SPY0.31

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Hubs: MOS correlations · SPY correlations