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MOS vs XLB: Correlation

How closely do Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.53, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.53
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.53
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.51
long-run
Ann. covariance
324.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MOS and XLB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MOS and XLB correlate at 0.53, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.53 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.51, with an annualized covariance of 324.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLB places #4 of the 33 assets tracked against MOS. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLB outperformed by 44.2 percentage points (-26.6% for MOS against +17.6% for XLB). The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.47 and 0.70. One caveat on sizing: MOS is 2.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MOS vs XLB: side by side

MOS (Mosaic Company (The))XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-26.6%+17.6%
5-year return-17.1%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)36.6%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.780.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-45.7%-23.2%
Market cap$7.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield3.64%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: MOS 3.64% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -45.7%Higher 5y return: XLB +36.9% vs -17.1%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-33%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MOS · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearMOSXLB
2022+12.8%-12.3%
2023-16.4%+12.5%
2024-29.1%+0.1%
2025+1.1%+9.9%
2026+0.5%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLB holds MOS at a 1.0% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are MOS and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.53 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MOS and XLB?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.53 over 3 years, with 0.53 over the last year and 0.51 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for MOS?

To a limited degree. At 0.53 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.53 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MOS vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.53MOS vs XLB0.53

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MOS correlations · XLB correlations