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MGM vs XLY: Correlation

MGM Resorts (MGM) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.42.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.42
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.08
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
294.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MGM and XLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the MGM/XLY correlation comes out at 0.42, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.08) runs below the 3-year figure (0.42). The 5-year figure is 0.54, and annualized covariance runs at 294.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #24 of the 41 assets tracked against MGM. Over the last 12 months MGM came out ahead by 8.1 percentage points (+8.0% against -0.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between 0.09 and 0.70 on a rolling one-year basis. Risk is not evenly split, since MGM carries 1.8 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MGM vs XLY: side by side

MGM (MGM Resorts)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+8.0%-0.1%
5-year return+0.8%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)35.2%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.181.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-46.0%-26.0%
Market cap$11.0B
P/E (trailing)26.4
Dividend yield0.00%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +0.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-15%0%+34%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MGM · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearMGMXLY
2022-25.3%-36.3%
2023+33.3%+39.6%
2024-22.4%+26.5%
2025+5.3%+7.4%
2026+17.8%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

MGM represents 0.21% of XLY's portfolio, so part of any move in XLY is MGM itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are MGM and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.42 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MGM and XLY?

The MGM/XLY correlation stands at 0.42 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.08, 5 years: 0.54), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for MGM?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.42 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.42 mean?

A reading of 0.42 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MGM vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.42MGM vs XLY0.42

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Hubs: MGM correlations · XLY correlations