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MDY vs MGM: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and MGM Resorts (MGM) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.47
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
335.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and MGM?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and MGM moved with a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.47) than the 3-year average (0.58). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.65, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 335.4 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, MGM ranks #207 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives MDY the advantage: +18.3% versus +8.0%, a 10.3-point spread. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.48 and 0.74 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: MGM runs 2.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs MGM: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)MGM (MGM Resorts)
1-year return+18.3%+8.0%
5-year return+47.5%+0.8%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%35.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.18
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-46.0%
Market cap$11.0B
P/E (trailing)26.4
Dividend yield1.02%0.00%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapConsumer Discretionary
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +0.8%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-15%0%+34%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · MGM

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYMGM
2022-13.3%-25.3%
2023+16.1%+33.3%
2024+13.6%-22.4%
2025+7.2%+5.3%
2026+16.4%+17.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and MGM good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and MGM?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and MGM is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.47 over 1 year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is MGM a good diversifier for MDY?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MDY vs MGM: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58MDY vs MGM0.58

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Hubs: MDY correlations · MGM correlations