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MDY vs QQQ: Correlation & Overlap

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.67, which is strong. Looking through to holdings, 0% of the two portfolios is the same by weight.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.67
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.55
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.74
long-run
Holdings overlap
0%
0 common holdings

How correlated are MDY and QQQ?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MDY and QQQ correlate at 0.67, strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.55) runs below the 3-year figure (0.67). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.74, with an annualized covariance of 215.5 %².

Within MDY's tracked universe of 359 assets, QQQ comes in at #94 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months QQQ came out ahead by 8.0 percentage points (+18.3% against +26.3%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.50 and 0.84 over the past three years, a moderate range.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs QQQ: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust)
1-year return+18.3%+26.3%
5-year return+47.5%+95.4%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%19.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.28
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-22.8%
Dividend yield1.02%0.44%
Expense ratio0.23%0.18%
Assets under management$26.5B$452.8B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapETF · US Growth & Tech
Lower fee: QQQ 0.18% vs 0.23%Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.44%Smaller drawdown: QQQ -22.8% vs -24.0%Higher 5y return: QQQ +95.4% vs +47.5%

On the fund side, MDY sits in the Mid-Cap Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield. QQQ is a Large Growth fund from Invesco: $452.8B under management, 104 holdings, a 0.18% expense ratio, a 0.44% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · QQQ

Portfolio overlap between MDY and QQQ

The two portfolios are largely distinct, with 0 holdings in common adding up to 0% of fund weight. Where correlation shows the co-movement, the overlap shows its source.

Largest positions held only by MDY: TWLO (0.95%), P (0.94%), ILMN (0.93%), FTI (0.83%), ATI (0.80%). Only by QQQ: NVDA (8.15%), AAPL (7.39%), MSFT (5.93%), MU (4.69%), AMZN (4.50%).

Overlap = sum of the smaller of the two weights across common holdings, from issuer disclosures as of 2026-08-26.

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYQQQ
2022-13.3%-32.6%
2023+16.1%+54.9%
2024+13.6%+25.6%
2025+7.2%+20.8%
2026+16.4%+17.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and QQQ good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.67 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and QQQ?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.67 over 3 years, with 0.55 over the last year and 0.74 over 5 years.

Is QQQ a good diversifier for MDY?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.67 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

How much do MDY and QQQ overlap?

Per the issuers' own portfolio disclosures (2026-08-26), the overlap is 0% by weight over 0 common positions.

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MDY vs QQQ: 3-year weekly correlation 0.67MDY vs QQQ0.67

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