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LOW vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Lowe's (LOW) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.57, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.49
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
276.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LOW and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of LOW and XLY correlate at 0.57, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.49 over 1 year against 0.57 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.60, with an annualized covariance of 276.6 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #16 of the 46 assets tracked against LOW. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLY outperformed by 18.3 percentage points (-18.4% for LOW against -0.1% for XLY). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.46 and 0.72, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LOW vs XLY: side by side

LOW (Lowe's)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-18.4%-0.1%
5-year return+11.1%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)24.8%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.831.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.0%-26.0%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)17.8
Dividend yield2.31%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: LOW 2.31% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -29.0%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +11.1%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-22%0%+8%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). LOW · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearLOWXLY
2022-21.5%-36.3%
2023+14.0%+39.6%
2024+13.0%+26.5%
2025-0.3%+7.4%
2026-12.9%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds LOW at a 2.94% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are LOW and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LOW and XLY?

The LOW/XLY correlation stands at 0.57 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.49, 5 years: 0.60), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for LOW?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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LOW vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57LOW vs XLY0.57

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Hubs: LOW correlations · XLY correlations