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LOW vs TOL: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Lowe's (LOW) and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) carry a correlation of 0.74, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.74
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.72
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.70
long-run
Ann. covariance
639.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LOW and TOL?

On 3 years of weekly data the LOW/TOL correlation comes out at 0.74, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.72) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.70, and annualized covariance runs at 639.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, TOL places #5 of the 46 assets tracked against LOW. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with TOL ahead by 24.4 points (-18.4% versus +6.0%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LOW vs TOL: side by side

LOW (Lowe's)TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
1-year return-18.4%+6.0%
5-year return+11.1%+139.9%
Volatility (ann.)24.8%34.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.831.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.0%-46.0%
Market cap$13.4B
P/E (trailing)17.811.9
Dividend yield2.31%0.69%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryUS Listed
Lower P/E: TOL 11.9 vs 17.8Higher yield: LOW 2.31% vs 0.69%Smaller drawdown: LOW -29.0% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs +11.1%
-22%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. LOW · TOL

Year-by-year returns

YearLOWTOL
2022-21.5%-30.0%
2023+14.0%+108.6%
2024+13.0%+23.4%
2025-0.3%+8.3%
2026-12.9%+7.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are LOW and TOL good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.74 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LOW and TOL?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.74 over 3 years, with 0.72 over the last year and 0.70 over 5 years.

Is TOL a good diversifier for LOW?

To a limited degree. At 0.74 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.74 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.74 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/low-vs-tol.json

LOW vs TOL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.74LOW vs TOL0.74

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![LOW vs TOL correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/low-vs-tol.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/low-vs-tol/)

The core API is free. Terms and every endpoint in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: LOW correlations · TOL correlations