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LLY vs NVS: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Lilly (Eli) (LLY) and Novartis AG (NVS) carry a correlation of 0.41, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.41
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.53
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.44
long-run
Ann. covariance
294.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LLY and NVS?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of LLY and NVS correlate at 0.41, moderate. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.53) runs above the 3-year figure (0.41). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.44, with an annualized covariance of 294.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, NVS places #7 of the 29 assets tracked against LLY. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with LLY ahead by 35.6 points (+61.2% versus +25.6%). One caveat on sizing: LLY is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LLY vs NVS: side by side

LLY (Lilly (Eli))NVS (Novartis AG)
1-year return+61.2%+25.6%
5-year return+369.2%+103.5%
Volatility (ann.)36.6%19.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.570.25
Max drawdown (3Y)-34.5%-20.0%
Market cap$1,048.8B$293.9B
P/E (trailing)40.023.4
Dividend yield0.54%2.96%
Sector / categoryHealth CareUS Listed
Lower P/E: NVS 23.4 vs 40.0Higher yield: NVS 2.96% vs 0.54%Smaller drawdown: NVS -20.0% vs -34.5%Higher 5y return: LLY +369.2% vs +103.5%
-5%0%+74%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. LLY · NVS

Year-by-year returns

YearLLYNVS
2022+34.3%+8.1%
2023+60.9%+16.1%
2024+33.3%+0.0%
2025+40.2%+47.0%
2026+10.0%+15.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are LLY and NVS good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.41, LLY and NVS keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LLY and NVS?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.41 over 3 years, with 0.53 over the last year and 0.44 over 5 years.

Is NVS a good diversifier for LLY?

Reasonably. At 0.41, LLY and NVS keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.41 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.41 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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LLY vs NVS: 3-year weekly correlation 0.41LLY vs NVS0.41

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Hubs: LLY correlations · NVS correlations