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LLY vs XLV: Correlation

Lilly (Eli) (LLY) and Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.64.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.64
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.81
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.63
long-run
Ann. covariance
344.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LLY and XLV?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of LLY and XLV correlate at 0.64, strong. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.81) runs above the 3-year figure (0.64). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.63, with an annualized covariance of 344.1 %².

In LLY's tracked universe of 29 assets, XLV sits right near the top at #1. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months LLY outperformed by 33.7 percentage points (+61.2% for LLY against +27.5% for XLV). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.23 and 0.81 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. One caveat on sizing: LLY is 2.5 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LLY vs XLV: side by side

LLY (Lilly (Eli))XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+61.2%+27.5%
5-year return+369.2%+37.4%
Volatility (ann.)36.6%14.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.570.42
Max drawdown (3Y)-34.5%-17.1%
Market cap$1,048.8B
P/E (trailing)40.0
Dividend yield0.54%1.56%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$41.7B
Sector / categoryHealth CareSector ETF
Higher yield: XLV 1.56% vs 0.54%Smaller drawdown: XLV -17.1% vs -34.5%Higher 5y return: LLY +369.2% vs +37.4%

On the fund side, XLV sits in the Health category at State Street Investment Management, with $41.7B under management, 61 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.56% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+74%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. LLY · XLV

Year-by-year returns

YearLLYXLV
2022+34.3%-2.1%
2023+60.9%+2.1%
2024+33.3%+2.5%
2025+40.2%+14.5%
2026+10.0%+11.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 15.03% of XLV is LLY itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are LLY and XLV good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.64 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LLY and XLV?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.64 over 3 years, with 0.81 over the last year and 0.63 over 5 years.

Is XLV a good diversifier for LLY?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.64 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.64 mean?

A reading of 0.64 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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LLY vs XLV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.64LLY vs XLV0.64

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Hubs: LLY correlations · XLV correlations