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JCI vs VTV: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Johnson Controls (JCI) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) carry a correlation of 0.54, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
181.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are JCI and VTV?

Over the past 3 years, JCI and VTV moved with a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.41) runs below the 3-year figure (0.54). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.59, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 181.6 %².

Among the 32 assets we track against JCI, VTV ranks #14 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance JCI holds a 5.2-point edge, +30.9% against +25.7%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.39 and 0.71 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: JCI runs 2.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

JCI vs VTV: side by side

JCI (Johnson Controls)VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return+30.9%+25.7%
5-year return+108.2%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)28.1%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.980.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.1%-14.5%
Market cap$86.1B
P/E (trailing)40.1
Dividend yield1.11%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: VTV 1.86% vs 1.11%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -21.1%Higher 5y return: JCI +108.2% vs +79.1%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+46%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). JCI · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearJCIVTV
2022-19.3%-2.1%
2023-7.6%+9.3%
2024+39.8%+16.0%
2025+53.0%+15.3%
2026+19.5%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.33% of VTV is JCI itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are JCI and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.54 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between JCI and VTV?

The JCI/VTV correlation stands at 0.54 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.41, 5 years: 0.59), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VTV a good diversifier for JCI?

To a limited degree. At 0.54 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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JCI vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54JCI vs VTV0.54

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Hubs: JCI correlations · VTV correlations