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JCI vs XLI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Johnson Controls (JCI) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carry a correlation of 0.62, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.62
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.53
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.68
long-run
Ann. covariance
275.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are JCI and XLI?

Over the past 3 years, JCI and XLI moved with a correlation of 0.62, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.53 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.68, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 275.1 %².

XLI is one of the assets that tracks JCI most closely: it ranks #1 out of the 32 assets we track against JCI. On 12-month performance JCI holds a 12.6-point edge, +30.9% against +18.3%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.41 and 0.80 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: JCI is 1.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

JCI vs XLI: side by side

JCI (Johnson Controls)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+30.9%+18.3%
5-year return+108.2%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)28.1%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.980.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.1%-18.5%
Market cap$86.1B
P/E (trailing)40.1
Dividend yield1.11%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 1.11%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -21.1%Higher 5y return: JCI +108.2% vs +84.0%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+46%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). JCI · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearJCIXLI
2022-19.3%-5.6%
2023-7.6%+18.1%
2024+39.8%+17.3%
2025+53.0%+19.3%
2026+19.5%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

JCI represents 1.55% of XLI's portfolio, so part of any move in XLI is JCI itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are JCI and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.62 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between JCI and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between JCI and XLI is 0.62 over 3 years, 0.53 over 1 year and 0.68 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for JCI?

To a limited degree. At 0.62 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.62 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.62 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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JCI vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.62JCI vs XLI0.62

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Related comparisons

Hubs: JCI correlations · XLI correlations