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IP vs USO: Correlation

How closely do International Paper (IP) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.18, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.18
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.38
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.09
long-run
Ann. covariance
-270.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IP and USO?

On 3 years of weekly data the IP/USO correlation comes out at -0.18, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.38) than the 3-year average (-0.18). The 5-year figure is -0.09, and annualized covariance runs at -270.7 %².

Among the 29 assets we track against IP, USO ranks #23 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 87.6 percentage points (-13.5% for IP against +74.1% for USO). Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from -0.47 to 0.44.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IP vs USO: side by side

IP (International Paper)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-13.5%+74.1%
5-year return-11.2%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)37.8%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.77-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-48.6%-32.5%
Market cap$21.1B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.47%
Sector / categoryMaterialsETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -48.6%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs -11.2%
-36%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). IP · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearIPUSO
2022-23.0%+29.0%
2023+10.2%-4.9%
2024+55.3%+13.4%
2025-23.8%-8.5%
2026+5.0%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are IP and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.18, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IP and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.18 over 3 years, with -0.38 over the last year and -0.09 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for IP?

Yes: at -0.18, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.18 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.18 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ip-vs-uso.json

IP vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.18IP vs USO-0.18

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![IP vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/ip-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/ip-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: IP correlations · USO correlations