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IP vs XLB: Correlation

International Paper (IP) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.56.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.56
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.70
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.57
long-run
Ann. covariance
354.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IP and XLB?

On 3 years of weekly data the IP/XLB correlation comes out at 0.56, moderate. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.70 versus 0.56 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.57, and annualized covariance runs at 354.6 %².

Among the 29 assets we track against IP, XLB ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLB ahead by 31.1 points (-13.5% versus +17.6%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.15 and 0.78 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. One caveat on sizing: IP is 2.3 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IP vs XLB: side by side

IP (International Paper)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-13.5%+17.6%
5-year return-11.2%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)37.8%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.770.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-48.6%-23.2%
Market cap$21.1B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.47%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: IP 4.47% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -48.6%Higher 5y return: XLB +36.9% vs -11.2%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-36%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). IP · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearIPXLB
2022-23.0%-12.3%
2023+10.2%+12.5%
2024+55.3%+0.1%
2025-23.8%+9.9%
2026+5.0%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

IP represents 2.86% of XLB's portfolio, so part of any move in XLB is IP itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are IP and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means IP and XLB share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IP and XLB?

The IP/XLB correlation stands at 0.56 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.70, 5 years: 0.57), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLB a good diversifier for IP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means IP and XLB share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.56 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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IP vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.56IP vs XLB0.56

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Hubs: IP correlations · XLB correlations