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HPK vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.08, a near-zero link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.08
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
-0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.13
long-run
Ann. covariance
65.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HPK and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the HPK/SPY correlation comes out at 0.08, near zero, meaning they move largely independently. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.23) than the 3-year average (0.08). The 5-year figure is 0.13, and annualized covariance runs at 65.5 %².

Within HPK's tracked universe of 13 assets, SPY comes in at #7 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance SPY holds a 13.4-point edge, +7.2% against +20.6%. Risk is not evenly split, since HPK carries 3.8 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HPK vs SPY: side by side

HPK (HighPeak Energy, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+7.2%+20.6%
5-year return-11.4%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)55.8%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.311.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-77.8%-18.8%
Market cap$1.0B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.03%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: HPK 1.03% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -77.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -11.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-47%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. HPK · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearHPKSPY
2022+56.9%-18.2%
2023-37.4%+26.2%
2024+4.3%+24.9%
2025-67.2%+17.7%
2026+68.8%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HPK and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at 0.08, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HPK and SPY?

The HPK/SPY correlation stands at 0.08 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.23, 5 years: 0.13), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for HPK?

Yes: at 0.08, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of 0.08 mean?

A reading of 0.08 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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HPK vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.08HPK vs SPY0.08

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Hubs: HPK correlations · SPY correlations