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HPK vs SHY: Correlation

How closely do HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.24, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.24
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.15
long-run
Ann. covariance
-20.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HPK and SHY?

On 3 years of weekly data the HPK/SHY correlation comes out at -0.24, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.41) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.24). The 5-year figure is -0.15, and annualized covariance runs at -20.8 %².

SHY is close to the least connected end of HPK's tracked universe, ranking #13 of 13. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +7.2% for HPK and +2.5% for SHY. One caveat on sizing: HPK is 34.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HPK vs SHY: side by side

HPK (HighPeak Energy, Inc.)SHY (iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+7.2%+2.5%
5-year return-11.4%+9.6%
Volatility (ann.)55.8%1.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.310.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-77.8%-1.0%
Market cap$1.0B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.03%3.65%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$25.1B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Bonds
Higher yield: SHY 3.65% vs 1.03%Smaller drawdown: SHY -1.0% vs -77.8%Higher 5y return: SHY +9.6% vs -11.4%

SHY, iShares's Short Government fund, carries $25.1B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 3.65% trailing dividend yield.

-47%0%+12%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. HPK · SHY

Year-by-year returns

YearHPKSHY
2022+56.9%-3.9%
2023-37.4%+4.2%
2024+4.3%+3.9%
2025-67.2%+5.0%
2026+68.8%+1.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HPK and SHY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.24, HPK and SHY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HPK and SHY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.24 over 3 years, with -0.41 over the last year and -0.15 over 5 years.

Is SHY a good diversifier for HPK?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.24, HPK and SHY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.24 mean?

A reading of -0.24 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/hpk-vs-shy.json

HPK vs SHY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.24HPK vs SHY-0.24

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HPK correlations · SHY correlations