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HAL vs TLT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Halliburton (HAL) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) carry a correlation of -0.16, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.16
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.19
long-run
Ann. covariance
-83.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HAL and TLT?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of HAL and TLT correlate at -0.16, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.23) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.19, with an annualized covariance of -83.6 %².

By 3-year correlation, TLT places #36 of the 44 assets tracked against HAL. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with HAL ahead by 62.5 points (+62.8% versus +0.3%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between -0.38 and -0.04 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: HAL runs 2.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HAL vs TLT: side by side

HAL (Halliburton)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+62.8%+0.3%
5-year return+93.6%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)38.0%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.550.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-54.0%-14.8%
Market cap$29.6B
P/E (trailing)18.0
Dividend yield1.97%4.75%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$41.5B
Sector / categoryEnergyETF · Bonds
Higher yield: TLT 4.75% vs 1.97%Smaller drawdown: TLT -14.8% vs -54.0%Higher 5y return: HAL +93.6% vs -34.0%

On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+91%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. HAL · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearHALTLT
2022+74.5%-31.2%
2023-6.5%+2.8%
2024-23.2%-8.1%
2025+7.0%+4.2%
2026+26.7%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HAL and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.16 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HAL and TLT?

The HAL/TLT correlation stands at -0.16 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.23, 5 years: -0.19), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TLT a good diversifier for HAL?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.16 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.16 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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HAL vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.16HAL vs TLT-0.16

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HAL correlations · TLT correlations