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GUG vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund (GUG) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.45, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.45
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.36
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.56
long-run
Ann. covariance
84.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GUG and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the GUG/SPY correlation comes out at 0.45, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.36 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.56, and annualized covariance runs at 84.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #6 of the 12 assets tracked against GUG. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 15.2 points (+5.4% versus +20.6%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GUG vs SPY: side by side

GUG (Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+5.4%+20.6%
5-year return+16.3%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)12.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.401.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-12.1%-18.8%
Market cap$0.5B
P/E (trailing)9.1
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: GUG -12.1% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +16.3%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-5%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. GUG · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearGUGSPY
2022-26.5%-18.2%
2023+20.7%+26.2%
2024+11.5%+24.9%
2025+13.1%+17.7%
2026+4.2%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GUG and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.45 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GUG and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.45 over 3 years, with 0.36 over the last year and 0.56 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for GUG?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.45 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.45 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.45 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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GUG vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.45GUG vs SPY0.45

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Hubs: GUG correlations · SPY correlations