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GLD vs TLYS: Correlation

How closely do SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.21, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.21
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.29
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.18
long-run
Ann. covariance
-375.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GLD and TLYS?

Over the past 3 years, GLD and TLYS moved with a correlation of -0.21, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.29) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.18, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -375.3 %².

TLYS is close to the least connected end of GLD's tracked universe, ranking #27 of 30. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with TLYS ahead by 70.2 points (+35.1% versus +105.3%). Note the risk asymmetry: TLYS runs 5.2 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GLD vs TLYS: side by side

GLD (SPDR Gold Shares)TLYS (Tilly's, Inc.)
1-year return+35.1%+105.3%
5-year return+149.5%-74.2%
Volatility (ann.)18.7%96.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.180.68
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.4%-92.3%
Market cap$0.1B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryETF · CommoditiesUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: GLD -26.4% vs -92.3%Higher 5y return: GLD +149.5% vs -74.2%
-34%0%+187%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. GLD · TLYS

Year-by-year returns

YearGLDTLYS
2022-0.8%-43.8%
2023+12.7%-16.7%
2024+26.7%-43.6%
2025+63.7%-53.2%
2026+6.6%+93.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GLD and TLYS good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, GLD and TLYS have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GLD and TLYS?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between GLD and TLYS is -0.21 over 3 years, -0.29 over 1 year and -0.18 over 5 years.

Is TLYS a good diversifier for GLD?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, GLD and TLYS have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.21 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.21 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/gld-vs-tlys.json

GLD vs TLYS: 3-year weekly correlation -0.21GLD vs TLYS-0.21

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Hubs: GLD correlations · TLYS correlations