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GDX vs GLD: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) carry a correlation of 0.85, a very strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.85
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.86
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.84
long-run
Ann. covariance
646.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GDX and GLD?

On 3 years of weekly data the GDX/GLD correlation comes out at 0.85, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.86) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.84, and annualized covariance runs at 646.2 %².

Among the 78 assets we track against GDX, GLD ranks #18 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: GDX led by 34.8 percentage points, +69.9% for GDX against +35.1% for GLD. The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.78 and 0.88. Risk is not evenly split, since GDX carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GDX vs GLD: side by side

GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF)GLD (SPDR Gold Shares)
1-year return+69.9%+35.1%
5-year return+245.5%+149.5%
Volatility (ann.)40.9%18.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.880.18
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.9%-26.4%
Sector / categoryETF · CommoditiesETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: GLD -26.4% vs -38.9%Higher 5y return: GDX +245.5% vs +149.5%
0%+76%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. GDX · GLD

Year-by-year returns

YearGDXGLD
2022-9.0%-0.8%
2023+10.0%+12.7%
2024+10.6%+26.7%
2025+154.8%+63.7%
2026+20.9%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GDX and GLD good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, GDX and GLD move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GDX and GLD?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.85 over 3 years, with 0.86 over the last year and 0.84 over 5 years.

Is GLD a good diversifier for GDX?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, GDX and GLD move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.85 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.85 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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GDX vs GLD: 3-year weekly correlation 0.85GDX vs GLD0.85

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Hubs: GDX correlations · GLD correlations