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GDX vs NG: Correlation

How closely do VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.84
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
1703.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GDX and NG?

On 3 years of weekly data the GDX/NG correlation comes out at 0.58, moderate. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.84) than the 3-year average (0.58). The 5-year figure is 0.62, and annualized covariance runs at 1703.6 %².

By 3-year correlation, NG places #60 of the 78 assets tracked against GDX. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with GDX ahead by 31.5 points (+69.9% versus +38.4%). Note the risk asymmetry: NG runs 1.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GDX vs NG: side by side

GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF)NG (Novagold Resources Inc.)
1-year return+69.9%+38.4%
5-year return+245.5%+28.8%
Volatility (ann.)40.9%72.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.881.55
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.9%-63.5%
Market cap$4.0B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryETF · CommoditiesUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: GDX -38.9% vs -63.5%Higher 5y return: GDX +245.5% vs +28.8%
-23%0%+97%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). GDX · NG

Year-by-year returns

YearGDXNG
2022-9.0%-12.8%
2023+10.0%-37.5%
2024+10.6%-11.0%
2025+154.8%+179.9%
2026+20.9%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GDX and NG good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means GDX and NG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GDX and NG?

The GDX/NG correlation stands at 0.58 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.84, 5 years: 0.62), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is NG a good diversifier for GDX?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means GDX and NG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.58 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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GDX vs NG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58GDX vs NG0.58

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Related comparisons

Hubs: GDX correlations · NG correlations